With 70% of votes counted, the sum of the right wing Partido Popular and the far right Vox won’t be able to get enough seats to form government with roughly 164 against the required 176 to form a majority.

While they’re slightly above the projected seats than their left wing opposites PSOE and Sumar, the parties ERC (Catalan left wing), Junts (Catalan right wing), Bildu (Basque left wing) and PNV (Basque right wing) will hold the key to grant the presidency to either PP or PSOE, and PP’s partner Vox’s relentless support for radical centralism and opposition to minority languages have made the possibility of a pact between the Catalan and Basque parties and Madrid’s right wing non-viable since at least 2019.

Vox has ran a campaign on opposition against feminist policies; against the “Ley Trans” or “Trans Law” passed during the last period, which made Spain one of the first countries in the world to allow legal gender self-determination; and centralizing the responsibilities of Comunidades Autónomas or regional governments; while frequently responsibilizing immigrants for the perceived state of crime.