Did your calculation account for the fact that energy and economic growth having an almost 1:1 relation, meaning a compound growth of ~3% economic growth every year will add up quadrupling the energy requirements in 50 years.
I don’t think that’s actually true - it might have been from 1940s USA to the early 1980s but I don’t think it holds weight anymore.
For example, if there was total electrification of cars and heating within 5 years, electricity demand would increase unimaginably while GDP would barely move.
I didn’t - I cut 16 years off the timeline, or about 30 per cent
That’s accurate enough for a thought experiment that turns 80 percent of the world’s population into China
Did your calculation account for the fact that energy and economic growth having an almost 1:1 relation, meaning a compound growth of ~3% economic growth every year will add up quadrupling the energy requirements in 50 years.
I don’t think that’s actually true - it might have been from 1940s USA to the early 1980s but I don’t think it holds weight anymore.
For example, if there was total electrification of cars and heating within 5 years, electricity demand would increase unimaginably while GDP would barely move.