• DevCat@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    this badly breaks MAD.

    Not really. Current estimates are that Russia has about 1,500 missiles deployed and ready to go. If we assume only 10% will actually lift off, and of those, only 10% will hit their target and detonate, that leaves 15 cities to be hit. Living near a potential target?

    • Bloops@lemmygrad.ml
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      1 year ago

      If we assume only 10% will actually lift off, and of those, only 10% will hit their target and detonate

      What? Why would we assume this?

      • DevCat@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        I’m assuming absolute crap maintenance of missiles and warheads. If they kept better care of them, more targets get hit.

        • Bloops@lemmygrad.ml
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          1 year ago

          We should err on the side of pessimism, not wild optimism when it comes to this stuff. Joke’s on us if we start a nuclear war and a billion people die because we thought their maintenance was bad.

    • fubo@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Me? I’m not far downhill from a National Lab; if their nukes work, I’m toast.