Thus far, Trump has not raised the possibility of sending actual troops to Ontario. Instead, he seems to believe he can achieve this Canadian Anschluss by simply crushing Canada’s economy and leaving it no choice but to join the US.
But Canada in 2025 is not Austria in 1938. “Canada will never, ever be part of America,” declared newly elected Canadian Prime Minster Mark Carney last week, making the country’s position crystal clear. And, last month, the Canadian Armed Forces announced that after years of declining enrollment, it had seen a surge in enlistments since Trump took office, with about 1,000 more applicants than last year. (Canadian officials couldn’t attribute the new rash of interest to Trump’s threats, but they didn’t rule it out, either.)
Given that Canada will never voluntarily join the US—which it is adamant about—would Trump try to use force to annex it? And would Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth go along with this crazy plan?
Agreed, the number of refusals, defections, and just straight up surrendering would cause massive problems for any sort of invasion.
Not to mention the basic fact that there’s nothing to “capture” these days.
If they take the government buildings by force, does that change anything?
They’ve only “taken” Canada if the people start paying taxes to the US government, and that’s unlikely to happen in an invasion situation. People would just stop paying their taxes entirely. It’s not like troops could go door to door collecting, they may be able to collect it from some specific large businesses, but the rest of the economy immediately goes underground
There’s no reasonable enforcement measure for the mass riots that would occur with the number of troops they could afford to deploy to Canada. If they start ordering troops to just gun down every riot, the fight back from the Canadians is going to make Afghanistan look like a cake walk.
If they start shutting down basic functions like electricity or banking to control the population, then the number of guns Canada owns is going to become a huge problem for the troops they have here. The US military would also have to secure the border somehow as some people will try to flee into the US, and some of those people “fleeing” would then turn around and start attacking US assets in the US.
And that’s not to mention the almost million Canadians who currently live in the US, are they going to try Japanese internment camps again?
A physical invasion is just completely infeasible. He’s going to keep pushing it economically and politically, and it’s very likely he’s long gone (either out of office or dead) before Canada would cave to those pressures.