The poll surveyed 1,006 adults across the U.S. and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points, at the 95 percent confidence level.
Not a very good poll, IMO. However:
Of fucking course their polling is low. They’ve sat with their thumbs up their ass this entire presidency. That’s after running a terrible presidential campaign, that came on the coattails of another terrible presidential campaign, that came on the coattails of a terrible presidency.
Thats a perfectly reasonable sample size and margin of error. The margin of error for a given confidence level and standard deviation is proportional to 1/sqrt(n) so in order to get the margin of error down from 4% points to 2% they would need to quadruple the number of people polled. However this is worthless if you cannot attribute for systematic errors with a better precision.
Not a very good poll, IMO. However:
Of fucking course their polling is low. They’ve sat with their thumbs up their ass this entire presidency. That’s after running a terrible presidential campaign, that came on the coattails of another terrible presidential campaign, that came on the coattails of a terrible presidency.
My surprise level: 0%
Thats a perfectly reasonable sample size and margin of error. The margin of error for a given confidence level and standard deviation is proportional to 1/sqrt(n) so in order to get the margin of error down from 4% points to 2% they would need to quadruple the number of people polled. However this is worthless if you cannot attribute for systematic errors with a better precision.