Plum@lemmy.worldM to Wikipedia@lemmy.worldEnglish · 5 days agoMonty Hall problemen.wikipedia.orgexternal-linkmessage-square25linkfedilinkarrow-up191arrow-down13
arrow-up188arrow-down1external-linkMonty Hall problemen.wikipedia.orgPlum@lemmy.worldM to Wikipedia@lemmy.worldEnglish · 5 days agomessage-square25linkfedilink
minus-squareShortFuse@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up1·5 days agoIf I pick 1, then the host has to pick 2 or 3. Host reveals #3. If the car was in 2, he HAS to pick 3. If it was in 1, he can pick either 2 or 3. The chance that I picked 1 and it was in 1 is lower than the chance that it was in 2 and he was forced to reveal 3.
If I pick 1, then the host has to pick 2 or 3.
Host reveals #3.
If the car was in 2, he HAS to pick 3. If it was in 1, he can pick either 2 or 3.
The chance that I picked 1 and it was in 1 is lower than the chance that it was in 2 and he was forced to reveal 3.