Of course it won’t be “instantaneous” but I still can’t see how brexit will have an impact. The people who experience the first famine will be the same ones who experience the death of billions. Brexit will mean nothing.
I’m curious, would you be willing to put some dates to your expectations?
Year of first famine.
Year that population reaches half of 2025 population.
Year that brexit ceases to be relevant to living people.
None of us can predict that, but I import food for a living so I see us regularly losing out to EU countries who don’t have the same barriers to trade (e.g. The olive and sunflower shortages in the last couple of years that have made prices skyrocket here, but not in mainland Europe). It will be gradual, and we will suffer a painful decline long before other countries in mainland Europe (it’s already happening, but is only really noticeable to regular folks in terms of pricing at the moment).
It will be slow enough that we will see our country decline and suffer shortages whilst other countries are still prospering, and it will be in our lifetimes.
I don’t think we can predict it because no scientist has been able to accurately give a timescale yet. I’ve been a buyer for 10 years and the frequency and scale of crop shortages has grown in that time, so based on that I believe the decline will happen in our lifetimes.
Of course it won’t be “instantaneous” but I still can’t see how brexit will have an impact. The people who experience the first famine will be the same ones who experience the death of billions. Brexit will mean nothing.
I’m curious, would you be willing to put some dates to your expectations?
None of us can predict that, but I import food for a living so I see us regularly losing out to EU countries who don’t have the same barriers to trade (e.g. The olive and sunflower shortages in the last couple of years that have made prices skyrocket here, but not in mainland Europe). It will be gradual, and we will suffer a painful decline long before other countries in mainland Europe (it’s already happening, but is only really noticeable to regular folks in terms of pricing at the moment).
It will be slow enough that we will see our country decline and suffer shortages whilst other countries are still prospering, and it will be in our lifetimes.
Sure we can. A prediction is stating what we think will happen, not stating what will happen.
What do you mean by “long”?
I don’t think we can predict it because no scientist has been able to accurately give a timescale yet. I’ve been a buyer for 10 years and the frequency and scale of crop shortages has grown in that time, so based on that I believe the decline will happen in our lifetimes.
Ummm…
…that’s a prediction :-)
Here’s mine:
First famine: 2028
World reaching half 2025 population: 2030/31
Year brexit becomes irrelevant: 2028
Again, I’m totally mystified about your focus on brexit.
Ok, I see the angle you’re coming from but I disagree. I think it will be a slow, drawn out but painful decline.