Wow, a draft in the US. That’s a wild prediction. The last video in the series on Invidious where he actually tries to justify it.

Edit: You can probably skip the first 23 minutes if you know basic geopolitics concepts.

He doesn’t actually go into the draft thing at all. Maybe he doesn’t understand the US domestic politics of that well enough. There is discussion about ground troops being needed just because this is a bigger adversary than the some of the past ones, although that leaves the question of how much bigger.

The basic idea that Iran has way more options and better strategy holds, but he doesn’t touch on the disparity in the cost of just losing. Actually, he seems to think the US’s cost is higher. Parts of the US escalation ladder also seemed a bit backwards.

There’s some other new-to-me ideas in there, especially towards the end. Definitely was worth the watch. I’d do the one in OP too but these videos are long. Maybe later.