Essentially, Portugal can get 2 league spots and 1 qualification spot through being 6th in UEFA coefficients, get 1 from winning the Europa League, and 1 from the European Performance Spots.
The coefficients one is easy because that has already happened. The Europa League one makes sense because Braga are still in the Europa League. But the EPS one is quite difficult.
Portugal currently have a score of 20.100 for this season, behind Spain’s 21.406 and Germany’s 21.214. Now, if Braga wins both home and away games against Freiburg in the UEL Semi-Final, and then wins the final, the maximum score they can get is 21.500. In order for this to happen, both Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano have to lose both legs of their semi-finals, and Bayern Munich has to at most get a draw in one leg against PSG, and lose the other (I believe if Bayern win one match or draw both matches and it goes to pens the coefficients are tied, and I’m not too sure what happens in that scenario).
This then means that Portugal get the extra EPS along with England. So the top 2 get UCL league phase with 3rd getting qualification, 4th place Braga (it doesn’t matter where Braga place because they can’t get top 3 but I’m putting them in 4th as that’s where they are right now) get UCL league phase by winning the Europa League, and then 3rd place gets UCL because of the EPS, meaning the qualification skips past Braga in 4th down to 5th, allowing 4 teams in the UCL league phase and one into qualification.
Again, this requires an Arsenal-PSG UCL final, with Arsenal winning both legs, and PSG winning one and drawing one, Braga to get to the UEL final by winning both legs against Freiburg before winning the UEL, and Strasbourg to beat Rayo Vallecano in both legs of the UECL semi-final.
Idk why I posted this but I thought it would be interesting.
All data from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UEFA/_coefficient
