• kava@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

    i think there’s no scenario where biden wins this upcoming election

    the situation with israel/iran is gonna kill him. he enters the war in force, he loses election because he’s starting another war in the middle east. he does nothing, and he loses because he appears weak.

    he just had a press conference because the special counsel released a report saying he was mishandling classified documents just like trump. the report stated one of the reasons he’s not getting prosecuted is “he’s a well intentioned old man with a bad memory”

    i guarantee that’s going to be on attack ads all over come election time

    look at the republican primary in nevada. trump got removed from the ballot - so he told his supporters not go out and vote because it didn’t matter.

    so who won the primary? the options were nikki haley, tim scott, and mike pence. Haley got about 30%… but the winner with 63% was “none of the above”

    even when trump isn’t on the ballot, even when he tells his supporters not go out and vote… he still dominates.

    if you look at the polls- https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/

    trump is winning nearly every general election poll vs biden

    i feel like the democrats are sleepwalking into a trump victory by rallying behind biden

    only chance is some sort of legal action taking trump out of the race (which i find unlikely at this point) OR trump has a stroke or something

    • ryathal@sh.itjust.works
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      11 months ago

      There’s too much good fodder for attack ads. Remember how he said he wouldn’t seek reelection?