Just a regular Joe.

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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 7th, 2023

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  • As escalatory as “boots on the ground” and “no fly zones” sound to some, doing this (in a limited fashion) in the western regions and well behind the active frontline might be relatively easy to swallow by the russians (who will scream western imperialism, but will still try to avoid direct conflicts). Some will argue that this would make these countries a direct party to the conflict … I don’t think so, but the rules must be very clear to everyone - if russia decided to attack western targets directly, then yes, it would escalate. It is not without risk, but it sends a strong message and may help demoralise russians and make western Ukraine safer for citizens (and returning refugees), but it may not make it through the russian propaganda machine.

    Allowing Ukraine to attack military targets on russian soil with western supplied weapons is likely to have a bigger military impact though, and is well within legal norms.





  • In Tiananmen’s shadow, two leaders met, A show of strength, yet a tale of debt. Putin’s cap in hand, Xi’s gaze afar, The echoes of Ukraine, a haunting scar.

    The Red Army’s songs played, children cheered, But in Xi’s eyes, the future’s not cleared. A hug for the cameras, words held at bay, Xi knows the game, it’s a cautious play.

    Russia’s strength, now frail and thin, Exposed by war, the cracks begin. China stands tall, the senior hand, Guiding the course, on shifting sand.

    Economies entwined, yet paths diverge, Xi’s balance act on the world stage surge. A pariah’s plea, a friend’s restraint, In whispers, their true sentiments faint.

    For China’s gain, Russia’s plight, An alliance of need, not equal might. Xi will nod when the moment is right, In shadows, he maneuvers out of sight.