

Is AI profitable yet? a website that tracks the spending and revenue of leading AI companies. The answer is so helpfully provided at the top of the page


Is AI profitable yet? a website that tracks the spending and revenue of leading AI companies. The answer is so helpfully provided at the top of the page


Of course! That āAI Black Death in 2 yearsā this channel also predicted mustāve happened while we all slept and the AI uploaded us all so it could torture everyone who didnāt contribute to its development!


Yeah in a lot of LLM critiques he prattles on about neurosymbolic AI way too much and it really throws me off


Borrowing Garyās take on this since its the first one I found
TLDR: A lot of AI company stocks dropped last night, half a trillion dollars gone. Trump is considering having a government stake in OpenAI and other leading AI companies (aka thinly veiled bailout)


these might be actual end times
Good thing all those CEOs have Daddy Trump to run to while everyone else foots their bill


On Anthropic (and some other AI companies) and AI consciousness the final paragraph is the best part:
āMoreover, we should be skeptical when most of the noise on this topic is coming from the industry itself. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei has repeatedly dangled the possibility of AI consciousness in interviews. And his companyās research frequently makes bold claims about their models showing humanlike behavior, such as supposedly harboring āemotions.ā Just remember that itās easier for AI companies to string us along with wild Skynet doomsday scenarios instead of confronting the techās far mundane consequences currently playing out before our eyes.ā


Their fun interactive website does exist and the probability of automated coding at the end of the year doesnāt even get to 50% (and its their p10, meaning 90% of simulations of this model beat it out)


This one requires some minor backstory
Previously, I shared this wildly racist AI generated meme posted by an AI doomer channel
In the replies, someone pointed out how some of this channelās other thumbnails appear to be AI generated citing a specific video about the ā12 endings of AIā
Today I got curious about it after not thinking about it for a while. What are the 12 endings of AI? Instead of watching a 36 minute video, I did my own research (aka one online search) and it appears that it refers to Max Tegmark (known EA) and a concept he spoke about in his book. Hereās the article I got this info for peer review: https://medium.com/@butsch_79/the-12-futures-of-ai-a42d67bd9a20
If anyoneās got 36 minutes to spare feel free to follow up


Thatās great news actually. The point still stands that we very well know how to deal with climate change, so trying to make AI models fix it is dumb


This is also why I find people who claim theyāre making AI to āsolve climate changeā to be insufferable morons. We have a solution to climate change. You and your data centres are actively making the problem worse


real reason they picked 2027 is to balance urgency and hype generation with a bit of cushion for when the prediction doesnāt pan out.
Bingo. They probably hyped up Kokotajlo as a forecaster BECAUSE he had it earlier than the rest of them, so their prediction could have credence to it


Maybe because a lot of the press around it was about Daniel Kokotajlo as a forecaster, and at the time he had a 40% chance of AGI by the end of 2027 (according to them)? idk, still does feel a bit disingenuous


A bit more on the Anthropic cofounder who was there at the Popeās speech choice snippet:
Olah even went as far as to say that Anthropic is operating āinside a set of incentives and constraints that can sometimes conflict with doing the right thing,ā painting his employer as exactly the kind of entity thatās attempting to assume āmonopolistic controlā over tech, as Pope Leo warned in his encyclical.
I guess heās trying to say Anthropic has a bunch of limitations and financial incentives as a company (which didnāt stop them from taking those Qatar donations)


So I was poking around the AI 2027 blog and discovered that they seem to be working on making another scenario, this time titled āAI 2030ā they havenāt made any posts about it (that I can find anyways) but if its just an AI 2027 rewrite but with moved back timelines Iād imagine people will be less charitable with them.
EDIT: So upon further inspection, they have talked a little bit about how theyāve been focusing on researching and writing the scenario in their April 2026 timeline update. Since they started AI 2027 in 2024 and published it in 2025, it seems most likely that AI 2030 will be out in 2027. In other words, theyāre basically setting themselves up to get dunked on (especially if its just a rehash but with moved back timelines)


Its the āexpert in one field = expert in all fieldsā stuff that I hate. Thereās still plenty of jobs and areas of expertise that require humans: medicine, psychology/therapy (AI has arguably made the need for human therapists way more important), physical labour like construction work, linguistics etc. Hell human authors are definitely keeping their jobs since so many people hate slop
On a related note Mythos has been released and as pointed out, the original āGPT-2 is too dangerous to be releasedā post was written by Dario Amodei, Daniela Amodei and Jack Clark, who are all Anthropicās founders. Same ploy, different model