twitter loves doomerism but at the same time it is a bit odd how it managed to get so much attention so quickly

Apparently people on LinkedIn are theorising about if this guy’s even real due to his lack of social media posts for a Silicon Valley techie (his twitter was created this year and is empty aside from his quitting thread, Facebook created yesterday and no LinkedIn account)

Superhuman AI systems that will totally change everything for real this time are always “coming soon”, it’s a staple of the AI industry

Ah got it

So from what I gathered, two researchers were working on a math problem with the assistance of multiple AIs, but OpenAI beat them to it. The researchers are accusing OpenAI of using their work as training data, which OpenAI denied (edit: said wasn’t intentional and then basically threatened the researcher)

tried to make the link automatically skip to the part about the Anthropic employee but I guess substack doesnt work like that

Another Anthropic employee has quit for reasons typical of an Anthropic employee

They’re also apparently trying to obscure the amount of human assistance involved

of course lol, gotta keep that agi ruse up

Update 2: AI 2027 tracker updated again, we are still going slower than the predicted pace also the graph is basically unreadable unless confidence intervals are turned off

He also said that during a Lex Fridman interview 5 months ago (copy pasted from someone else’s comment on substack)

”he said in during a Lex Fridman interview March 26, 2026 - first time. I was just watching this today. ----- At about 1:56:29–1:56:35, Lex asks whether AGI is 5, 10, 15, or 20 years away. Jensen replies: “I think it’s now. I think we’ve achieved AGI.”

Oh hey I also know Drew Spartz, but not from the Nonlinear Fund. He runs the Documenting AGI channel (which is mentioned in this email) highlights include this racist doomer meme, a post about how AI will be able to end the world in 3 months, and a video about an AI Black Death in 2 years posted in 2024 I’ve shared some other posts of his here but these are the ones I could grab the fastest

I believe he was posted about on Reddit SneerClub because of sharing pdoom scores, all I remember about that post was a biologist arguing AI would replace us because of the competitive exclusion principle even though a quick search will tell you CEP is not always true

Anthropic also made a whole video on AI consciousness

Nvidia’s CEO is claiming that GPT Astra is AGI, in other words, CEOs saying more bullshit to keep valuation up

Someone pointed out that on some tests, Astra is actually a regression from previous models. Totally AGI guys

I mean banning the creation of super AI and pausing all other development is almost certainly going to help with the climate change business due to how much AI contributes to pollution along with every other negative impact of AI (and it also spits in the face of tech bros which is always a plus) but climate change policy should be more focused on over AI policy

Bernie Sanders made a new bill to completely ban AI Superintelligence (had to grab Marcus’s take even though I don’t agree with it cause its the first one I can find)

Emile Torres just dropped again: What If TESCREAL Is a Conspiracy? I haven’t read the whole thing yet but it does feature all of the classics

Endlessly clownery from these buffoons

There is a second AI 2027 tracker website this one’s pretty different from the other one because:

-It only tracks 53 predictions compared to the other’s 202

-There’s no ‘this didn’t happen’ option

Unsure of whether or not it was made by a rationalist but there’s a 90% chance it was. I also managed to catch more inconsistencies in their grading since by their logic this should be partially accurate