• naturalgasbad@lemmy.caOP
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    8 months ago

    Obviously, ISKP has become the core force of the “Islamic State” armed force, and its position can be regarded as the new core and top-level position of the “Islamic State”. The surviving “Islamic State” armed forces did not hesitate to publicly change their stance to show favor to the United States and Europe and become enemies of China, Russia and Iran, hoping to take advantage of the confrontation between major powers to profit from chaos.

    In fact, the “Islamic State” armed forces have chosen sides in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and continue to attack Russian targets, which not only shows its vitality but also shows its goodwill towards the United States and Europe. At a time when relations between Russia, the United States, Russia and Europe are extremely deteriorating, the United States and Europe will naturally not have much sympathy for Russia’s terrorist attacks, and silence itself is a great encouragement to the “Islamic State” armed forces. Similarly, the “Islamic State” armed forces have listed China, the “number one” strategic rival of the United States, as their enemy, which is bound to strengthen mutual understanding and even establish a utilitarian “non-alignment alliance.”

    After the regime change in Afghanistan, the “Islamic State” armed forces listed China, Russia and Iran as their priority opponents. Based on survival needs or higher negotiation demands, they are bound to list China, Russia and Iran as key attack targets to please the US and European camps. The “Islamic State” armed forces are aware of the pain of the United States and NATO losing Afghanistan, and understand that they are extremely unwilling to be replaced by neighboring powers such as China, Russia, and Iran. Therefore, they are willing to act as Washington’s de facto agent and shadow ally by confronting the Afghan government and being hostile to China, Russia, and Iran. Use terrorist attacks to harm the normal development and core interests of China, Russia and Iran.

    Water has no permanent shape, and soldiers have no permanent potential. In the 1980s, based on the common desire to fight against Soviet expansion, Osama. Book. Bin Laden formed an alliance with the United States and received training and funding from the CIA. After the Soviet Union withdrew its troops and disintegrated, conflicts between the two sides escalated and they turned against each other. Nowadays, the world situation has changed drastically, and the relationship between enemies and friends has been restructured. It is not a fantasy that the new generation of terrorists who pursue the “Bin Laden Doctrine” and the United States have expanded the intersection of interests and strategically formed a philanthropic relationship.

    This is one of the most nuanced takes I’ve seen discussing the issue of why ISIS has shifted from the West to the East: due to emerging geopolitical friction between the Western powers and the Eastern powers, ISIS has decided to adopt bin Laden’s playbook by aligning with one faction (to receive logistical support, training, etc.) against the other. I’d recommend reading.

      • HobbitFoot
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        8 months ago

        Russia is probably a greater risk to ISIS than western powers because Russia is propping up the government of Syria, which is in an active war with ISIS.

        • TargaryenTKE@lemmy.world
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          8 months ago

          I don’t think anyone on Lemmy has access to that data, and even if they did, that’s a pretty fucking narrow window to decide whether or not an argument has any merit. So this comment is either sarcasm I’m too stupid to understand, or you’re doing some massive heavy lifting to shift those goalposts

          • naturalgasbad@lemmy.caOP
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            8 months ago

            Within an order of magnitude? You can’t give a number within an order of magnitude? There’s only 20 million Muslims in China. There’s only 9 reasonable answers (10^0, 10^1, 10^2, … ~10^8), and any answer you give covers 3. In fact, 10^0 and 10^8 aren’t really “answers” because they’re entirely dominated by the other options, so you have 7 reasonable answers.

            You fucking kidding me? You might as well have said 0, because that’s about as much good as your answer did. You made the claim, now back it up.