• sylver_dragon@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago
    1. It’s never going to happen. Turkiye would give us another (probably US backed) genocide in the Middle East before they let that happen.
    2. Even with proven oil reserves in those regions, the lack of access to the world’s oceans is going to hurt that country. For all of the modern advancements in the world, trade still goes by boat. Land locked countries face issues with moving goods into and out of the country, which usually adds costs and makes goods from that country less competitive. With almost certain poor relations with Turkiye, Iraq and Syria, this new country would be trying to move goods though Iran, which is just a bad plan. Or, some combination of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia and Russia. Again, if none of that sounds promising, it’s because it isn’t. They would be far better off to give up some land further north and try to get connected to the Mediterranean Sea.
  • PhlubbaDubba@lemm.ee
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    1 month ago

    The only segment that has any chance of achieving independence at this point is Iraqi Kurdistan and even that’s highly remote, and would almost certainly be conditioned on pre-signing extradition agreements with all their neighbors regarding separatists from within their borders.

    I can only optimistically even say that much because Turkey is currently doing business with Iraqi Kurdistan despite their very clear animosity towards other sections of the region (especially in Syria because of very weird history with the Assads)