• David Gerard@awful.systemsOPM
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    4 months ago

    I think this “AI” (a marketing term) bubble will flop per the article we linked in the post: this is a bubble fueled entirely by investors, mostly VC, throwing money into a fire of unprofitable businesses selling services at a loss that don’t actually work.

    I spoke to a pile of AI industry peons who think the VCs will get sick of setting money on fire by the end of this year. I woulda given it two years myself - there are hundreds of billions of dollars desperate for a home - but the number I was consistently hearing in March was “three quarters”.

    Maybe the Nvidia price will weather it. It took a hit when crypto crashed, though not a huge one.

    • TinyTimmyTokyo@awful.systems
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      4 months ago

      The next AI winter can’t come too soon. They’re spinning up coal-fired power plants to supply the energy required to build these LLMs.

    • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      The link you provide above stalls, so IDK what that is about.
      I don’t agree that AI is just a marketing term, although it probably is used in that way by many, it is not when it comes to Nvidia, who has the by far most popular hardware to drive AI software. And Nvidia is already making a lot of money on selling hardware for AI, and even lower tier suppliers claim the demand is crazy for AI hardware.

      VCs will get sick of setting money

      Do you mean venture capitalists? It’s very annoying to have to guess the meaning of a 2 letter acronym. For Christ sake how many meaning do you think VC has?
      What special contact do industry peons have with venture capitalists? That doesn’t make any sense. Also I don’t believe this is driven by venture capitalists at all.

      All the biggest companies like Microsoft, Google, Facebook etc are making huge investments in their own implementations, implementations that cannot even be finished this year because of supply shortages. This is not about upstarts, but all the biggest existing companies investing huge amounts of money. Upstarts funded by Venture capitalists are not even a blip on the radar.

      So saying 3 quarters is absolute bullocks, that doesn’t even cover NVIDIA’s back orders!

      this is a bubble fueled entirely by investors,

      Nope, there is actual crazy demand. But how crazy in the longer run remains to be seen.

      • David Gerard@awful.systemsOPM
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        4 months ago

        For Christ sake how many meaning do you think VC has?

        we’re talking about a frequently used initialism on this community, which you may want to read more of, or not. Did you find this post by keyword searching?

        Bragging how you didn’t read something is also ill-favoured here.

        • self@awful.systems
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          4 months ago

          shit, thanks to the orange site and tech hypercapitalism in general, VC in the investing sense is an incredibly commonly-used term everywhere in the industry. so between them pretending your site won’t load and flip-flopping between being a tech investing expert and someone who apparently doesn’t know fuck about shit… well, you know what I’m thinking

        • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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          4 months ago

          Bragging how you didn’t read something is also ill-favoured here.

          WTF? Your shitty link to some private blog doesn’t work, but apparently you can’t make a proper response to the above.
          I just mention I couldn’t read it for completeness on my side.
          VC is not a tech term, you are being lazy and apparently don’t care about ambiguities in what you write.

          And unless it means something different here than I guessed, your point was irrelevant. Venture capitalists are irrelevant to the boom of AI.

          You also don’t explain how actual demand can be a bubble.

          • self@awful.systems
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            4 months ago

            so just to confirm: you’re a tech investing expert who posts on Lemmy but doesn’t know about archive links or extremely common tech investing acronyms? is that correct?