Why are we looking to a Newsweek article about Nate’s blog, instead of the blog post directly?

Last update: 9:30 a.m., Friday, September 20. The theme of the week remains mostly strong state polls for Kamala Harris, like this batch from Morning Consult, which helped her even though Morning Consult has consistently shown some of her better numbers.

Indeed, today marks the 3rd time so far in the election that the streams have crossed in the forecast — Harris is technically the favorite in the model for the first time since Aug. 28 — but the race is a toss-up and that will happen a lot when the forecast is so close to 50/50.

Source

Note that these margins are still razor thin. Voter turnout (and related factors) will be absolutely critical to the final results.