OttoboyEmpire [none/use name]

watching the complete alienation of society and dissolution of the most intimate human relations in real time and posting, boy, men are sure scumbags, huh?

dudes are not cheating but-for validation from a mechanical turk lol

hate haliburton and the corny underdog narrative, hate the thunder with all my heart; sunday is a win/win//lose/lose

If Iran calls that bluff and doesn’t retaliate, the situation is basically the same as it was before

i’m now worried that even in this scenario, the current status quo won’t be sustainable. it doesn’t seem possible for either iran or israel to back down without the former getting or being barred from getting nukes; and as israel continues to incur damage, it will continue to whine to the State Department, and there will be more time for consent manufacturing and more opportunities for false flags, and one way or another the americans will be dragged in.

somethings sometimes happen

deleted by creator

hersh says we ball

https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/what-i-have-been-told-is-coming-in

I have been told that the White House has signed off on an all-out bombing campaign in Iran, but the ultimate targets, the centrifuges buried at least eighty meters below the surface at Fordow, will, as of this writing, not be struck until the weekend. The delay has come at Trump’s insistence because the president wants the shock of the bombing to be diminished as much as possible by the opening of Wall Street trading on Monday. (Trump took issue on social media this morning with a Wall Street Journal report that said he had decided on the attack on Iran, writing that he had yet to decide on a path forward.)

I just saw this at Bluesky.

Prediction: Trump TACO’s on Iran.

users on bluesky are cribbing from some of our most thoughtful, insightful and handsome posters 😊

huh. i actually never doomered, not even once, so none of this is a surprise to me.

but had i doomered and assumed that america could be an indefinite arsenal of genocide, is that just wrong? does the US not have the interceptors? (are/were these interceptors used by Ukraine? did the Americans help Ukraine too much?)

flirting/hooking up with a girl from Argentina who knows little english and so i’m just moronically/knavishly naming all the Argentinian things i know in an effort to traverse cultural /linguistic boundaries and i mention Milei and she knows Milei and i ask what she thinks of Milei and she likes him and i laugh and ask if he doesn’t look goofy and then i immediately pivot to Evita or some shit because she’s absolutely gorgeous and you have to pick your battles.

another useless musing, which i will graciously append here instead of adding as a new comment:

i guess maybe we would’ve have heard more from other sources if this were the case, but still: i’m skeptical that Trump knew/understood what Israel was up to here. sure, he brags about being in the know, but isn’t this likely just occidental face-saving? like, “oh, that terrible, insanely reckless and stupid strategic play that Israel made? the one that, had they done it without our say so, would make us look like little idiots and worms? ya, we knew about it and thought it was a cool idea actually.” bullshit. they would rather look stupid and in control than smart and out of control; they don’t have the guts to call out Israel’s complete horseshit privately, and of course they can’t do it publicly. it reminds of Merkel disclaiming her entire foreign policy and credibility just so she could pretend that she wasn’t outsmarted by Putin (which she wasn’t, so there should be no shame in that (she was outsmarted by Biden/the Americans)). these people are delicate, self-defeating dipshits.

useless, evidence free/vibe-based musings: look, obviously it’s no joke and anything could happen, but: I think Taco Trump is a real thing. we saw this in Trump 1, we’ve seen this with the tariff regimes – dude does not have the bandwidth or perseverance to commit to any big project. he wants to chill and hold court and rack up easy wins – he does not want a huge mess on his plate, he does not want to go to briefings everyday, he does not want to affectively cede power to the brass (which he will have to do if this blows up)*. he likes exploding Soleimani, he likes funding Ukraine pre-war (these are easy sops to the hardliners, where any blowback doesn’t immediately redound back to him). i think it’s clear that he is or feels obligated to appease the hardliners as he dismisses their grander plans.

and so i think the state of things is something like this: Trump really hopes that he can figure out a way to just drop a MOAB and claim a W an get out of there (i’m sure he doesn’t really care if it actually succeeds or not); the hardliners are putting their feet in the bargaining door by braying for immediate declaration of war, and Trump is appeasing them by at least gathering USA forces at the gates; and that’s good enough for the hardliners because it increases dramatically Iran intentionally or accidentally killing Americans and forcing Trump’s hand.

the upshot of this, i think, is for Iran to be cool. you don’t have to trust the americans; you can trust, assuming that you can establish a credible, durable threat of bombing imperial oil wells** and closing the straight, that Trump doesn’t want to light the commercial world on fire – that he doesn’t want to saddle himself with more work and meetings and his rich business colleagues yelling at him. he does not want the smoke.

*i really think that the threat of a loss of practical power to the institutional military is/has been a serious factor in producing Trump the dove. however, it may be now, in Trump 2, that this factor is diminished, if it’s the case that Trump was able to effectively remove the institutionalist neocons and replace them with loyalist MAGA deus volt freaks; then maybe he doesn’t care if they’re calling the shots.

**could be wrong here as well. i assume spiking the cost of oil would be bad for everyone, but the geopolitics/macro nerds in the thread might better explain that oil going up is bad for everyone but comparatively better for the US, and is a win actually.

dude absolutely does not want the responsibility/work load of waging a war

rad dude – congrats on making it happen

secret nuke

conspicuous cope

forlorn at the prospect of US joining the conflict – obviously at the cosigning of evil, but ultimately just highlighting that nothing at all has changed since 2003. no hugging, no learning, just cascading grotesqueries. fuck bush, fuck trump, fuck cuomo, fuck biden, fuck clinton, fuck kamala, fuck the zionists, fuck starmer. gramsci says we are between worlds, but the interregnum of monsters now nears 100 years of his writing. to what end! the ancien regime will be just a brief prologue to the endless cruelty of capital, an endless interlude.

yes, it’s a dominos being frequented, and not the exchange of salvos portending ww3, which have me thinking something is afoot.

huge cope, but could Russia/China’s voiced/material support be a function of US involvement?

maybe russia has its hands tied but could it or China be providing surreptitious material support atm? and outward support if US becomes more involved?

do we know if MN provides for special elections to replace them?

blocked