• RION [she/her]@hexbear.net
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    2 days ago

    538 isn’t anything special, its only major claim to fame was being less wrong in 2016 but since Nate Silver left and took his model with him that’s not a factor anymore. But for what it’s worth, pretty much all models are showing similar predictions, including Silver’s.

    Personally I place a good amount of stock in the Economist prediction model on the logic that it’s a magazine for rich people whose money may be affected by the election so they have incentive to be accurate