https://nitter.net/mb_ghalibaf/status/2074681304625369519#m
MB Ghalibaf was also an Iranian negatiator of the Memorandum of Understanding. (MOU)
It’s not Friday, the US isn’t following the pattern
It is true that the US usually attacks Iran on Fridays. However, last Friday was July 3 and July 4th was the US’s 250th birthday.
Iran is holding the funeral of Ayatollah Khamenei, the former leader of Iran that was assassinated by the US. The funeral is from July 2 to 9. The funeral is expected to have around 30 million attendees across Iran. Iran has said that if the US attacks the funeral, then there will be harsh retaliation.
In interpret that the US wanted to attack during the funeral but did not want to attack during July 4 weekend.
Are they ever going to attack the continental US?
I think the geography of the US is partly what gives it so much arrogance. The US is protected by large oceans on both sides, bordered by allies Canada and Mexico.
A war with Venezuela could have a been a unique scenario where there would have been a possibility of an attack on the US.
Blocking the Strait of Hormuz has caused significant damage to the US economy. I was reading yesterday about the oil reserves becoming depleted.
I don’t think Iran would hit the continental US. They could hit Israel again and they could keep blocking the Strait of Hormuz. They could also block the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
I agree the physical situation of the US is very advantageous. It would be difficult to conduct another invasion or full scale military attack. I’ve been thinking that this is one of the pillars for american exceptionalism. which is why 9/11 was such a big deal despite objectively being tiny chips.
But another attack of that scale seems possible, especially as the basic functioning of the State crumbles. Even a series of them if well coordinated. With 9/11 it was very “lucky” for USA because the whole response was just sitting there already planned out, waiting for such an event to be set in motion if such a thing ever occurred even though the CIA/FBI/NSA “didn’t want it to” and “were protecting against terrorism”.
If it were to happen without such plans ready, without such “not knowing in advance”, I wonder what would happen. Eventually, somebody has to do it. Oceans can’t protect forever.
But another attack of that scale seems possible, especially as the basic functioning of the State crumbles. Even a series of them if well coordinated.
The whole “the USA has infinite guns and finite electrical transformers” would seem like very low-hanging fruit, but it doesn’t seem like much has happened on that front after a couple minor attacks a few years back.
why should they? the biggest advantage they have is the discrepancy in willpower. attacking the US would galvanize the american population, allows hardliners to shore up power centers, give justification for invasion or worse.
as it is now they have plenty of targets in the gulf states and israel which they can target and materially damage, and the prospect of an advantageous settlement by leveraging control of the strait.
Sure, but I want to see American troops die on their own soil, it would be funny to see one of those disgusting Forts blown up.
God I wish they would blow up Fort Worth
They have no means. None of their missiles have the range and even if they were to develop the missiles with the range it would be cost prohibitive to carry on any sort of campaign. There’s a reason empires like the US have navies and air forces. Missiles are good for coastal and regional defense but when you get to intercontinental wars you need to park warships and/or aircraft near the enemy to deliver ordinance in a reasonably cost effective manner.
Lacking a deep water navy or friendly air bases within range also rules that out. The only thing remaining would be physical infiltration and use of explosives and/or guns to attack military targets insurgency style but the odds for them there are not very good either. Trump has really tuned border security to very racist, very paranoid levels and the last thing Mexico wants or needs is a state like Iran infiltrating through it into the US to carry out attacks so they’d do their utmost to prevent that avenue. Such attacks wouldn’t serve as much deterrence either because unlike the regional missile strikes where they know Iran can deep doing it over and over for a long time they wouldn’t be convinced Iran could do the same with spies infiltrating the US to attack military bases.
Their chief negotiator also told CNN or whoever in a video interview they had no intention of attacking the American mainland.
i have not been contacted
