Image is of the aftermath of an Israeli bombing of Beirut in 2006.
We are now almost one year into the war and genocide in Gaza. Despite profound hardship, the Gazan Resistance continues its battles against the enemy, entirely undeterred. Despite Israeli proclamations throughout 2024 that they have cleared out Hamas from various places throughout Gaza, we still see regular attacks and ambushes against Zionist forces. Just today (Monday), Al Qassam fighters ambushed and destroyed another convoy of Israeli vehicles. The predictions early on in the war were that Israel would defeat Hamas in mere months, needing only until December, then January, and so on. This has proven very much untrue. Israel is stuck in the mud; unable to destroy their enemy due to their lack of knowledge about the “Gaza Metro” and, of course, a lack of actual fighting skill, given how many times I’ve seen Zionists getting shot while they gaze wistfully out of windows.
The same quagmire will occur in Lebanon, only considerably worse. Both Nasrallah and Sinwar possess a similar strategy of luring Zionist forces onto known, friendly territory, replete with traps and ambushes, to bleed them dry of equipment, manpower, and the will to continue fighting. The scale of the invasion could fall anywhere on the spectrum from “very limited” - more of a series of raids on Hezbollah positions than truly trying to occupy land - to a total invasion which would seek to permanently take control of Southern Lebanon. Neither is likely to destroy, or even substantially diminish Hezbollah’s fighting abilities. This is not wishful thinking: Hezbollah has convincingly defeated Israel twice before in its history, pushing them from their territory, and both times Hezbollah had almost no missiles and a limited supply of other equipment, relying on improvisation as often as not. The Hezbollah of 2024 is an entirely different organization to that of the early 2000s.
Attempts to drive wedges between Hezbollah and the rest of Lebanon are also unlikely to succeed. Hezbollah is not just a military force, it is extremely interlinked into various communities throughout Lebanon, drawing upon those communities to recruit soldiers. Throughout its history, it has provided education, healthcare, reconstruction, and dozens of other services one would attribute to a state. Amal Saad’s recent suggestion of using “quasi-state actor” as a more respectful replacement for the typical “non-state actor” seems advisable. And the decentralized command structures, compartmented leadership, strong succession planning, and aforementioned community ties almost entirely neutralizes the effectiveness of assassinations. Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary General Naim Qassem has confirmed that Hezbollah’s path has been set by Nasrallah, and his martyrdom will not stop nor even pause their efforts. Additionally, he confirmed that despite the recent attacks by Israel which nominally focussed on destroying missile depots, Hezbollah’s supply of weapons has not been degraded, and they are still only using the minimum of their capabilities.
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Last week’s thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
They lost some F-35. this is certain. Its very likely the thomas friedman bullshit was US intelligence work to protect israel from the fallout of its own arrogance when the missiles destroyed important things and that the IOF believed they would be able to protect their military assets, so they kept part of its stealth fighters in the ground and part of its military HQs manned. This with the general attempt by most of worldwide media (tied up to US media interests and US journalist training as we all know) were very likely attempts to not allow the harm to israeli and american deterrence spill public. They didn’t even had the missiles to fire from the destroyers, which means whatever happened, they got to know about the strike too late for properly preparing the US apparatus for intercepting a higher number of missiles.
The US media and paid agents passing as independent analysts in twitter and other places are attempting to cause fear by disregarding the iranian government, their president and their intelligence apparatus. Do not fall for this. Its their traditional method of completely rewriting history on the go to hide their military losses and psychological warfare to convince NATO military superiority as something that cannot be opposed by any power. The anglo-european white supremacist alliance is the new fascist axis and they will use all kinds of propaganda and dirty tactics to keep anglo-european imperialism afloat, and they will not think twice in defending a settler colonial state which is a vacation place for american billionaires with ancestry to the settlers and their local base for exploring and exploiting the resources and land of middle-eastern states and peoples.
Everyone who said that they would convert to Shia Islam if Iran responded better start breaking out the Quran
colonies of a settler flock together
Speaking to reporters in Melbourne, the PM said the government was “very concerned” but it was a “good thing” the defence of Israel, supported by the US, ensured there was no loss of civilian life.
“There’s been too much loss of life in that region,” he says.
"Israel, of course, has a right to defend itself. What we have called for consistently is for a de-escalation in the region. Along with our friends in the United States and others.
“There’s been too much loss of life in that region,” he says.
"Israel, of course, has a right to defend itself.
Saw this just now as a news update from NRK (machine translated from Norwegian):
Iran’s defense chief threatens Israel with destroying all Israeli infrastructure if Israel attacks Iran. AFP reports.
“The bombing will be repeated with higher intensity and all infrastructure in the country will be affected,” Major General Mohammad Bagheri said on state television.
https://x.com/DropSiteNews/status/1841221416282161326
The State Department rejected Iran’s justification for today’s missile strikes, stating that the assassinations of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh and Iranian nationals—actions against Iranian sovereignty—“occurred weeks ago.”
Israel is committing genocide over an attack that happened a year ago you weasel.
All that talk from the IDF spokesperson about Israel striking hard tonight in the region, and as sunrise approaches, all they managed was a few bombing raids in Beirut again? Hopefully it stays that way and they don’t bomb anything else.
Mildly nerd question (cause I don’t feel sick rewatching iran strikes): is it lots of “very fast” rockets or do they use kinda non-nuclear mirv thingies (so strategic ones)? Cause in some videos they have lots of rockets striking very fast in rapid succession, while the claims that they launched like 200, but in some videos you have more like slow moving interceptable rockets
It’s never been so over for Russia:
More and more data indicate a slowdown in the real sector of the economy. For example, the PMI index in the manufacturing industries fell to 49.5 points in September. For comparison, in August it was 52.1 points (information from S&P Global). Let me remind you that a PMI above 50 points indicates high activity in industry - indirect evidence of economic growth. Below 50 points - a decline.
Loading on Russian Railways in September also fell by 6.3% compared to last September. Cargo turnover is minus 6%. Loading for January-September is minus 4%. Also evidence of a decline.
Although the indicators are influenced by a whole range of reasons, from a political point of view, the situation has become extremely clear. From now on, all failures in the domestic economy will be EXPLAINED ONLY by the malicious policy of the Central Bank.
Just as a year ago, failures at the front were explained only by the leadership of the current Secretary of the Security Council. From this point of view, the situation inspires a certain optimism. The resignation of the head of the Bank of Russia may become a reality against the backdrop of an economic downturn.
Let Elvira Nabiullina explain to the deputies that monetary policy does not have an overwhelming effect on economic growth. For society, she has finally become an undesirable figure who must be removed. Otherwise, we will not win. The political risks for Nabiullina and her team are becoming very high. Judging by the dynamics of the oncoming events, there is still a year and a half left to wait.
The libs have won.
My recap of events for today (October 1st, 2024) on the Palestine/Lebanon front.
Iran’s Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) launched Operation True Promise II in response to the martyrdom of Hamas chief Ismail Haniyah, Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, and IRGC commander Abbas Nilforoushan. Around 200 missiles (including some Fattah-2 hypersonic ballistic missiles) struck many targets: three Zionist military bases near Tel Aviv (including the Tel Nof air base); an offshore gas platform near Ashkelon; air and radar bases; and Zionist intelligence bases used to organize assassinations. Some reports say that the strikes destroyed up to twenty F-35 fighter planes at the Zionists’ southern Nevatim air base. Tel Aviv’s propagandists are frantically denying the strikes’ severity.
Lebanese Hezbollah forces conducted Fadi-4 rocket strikes on the Zionists’ Military Intelligence Directorate’s Unit 8200 signal intelligence division at the Glilot military base, near Tel Aviv. In addition, the resistance also struck the northern Zionist settlements of Safed and Dovev; and Zionist troop concentrations near Metula and Avivim.
Little has been said about last night’s Zionist invasion attempt on southern Lebanon. In fact, reports are coming in that the Zionist military never actually crossed the border. However, border clashes occurred near the northern Zionist settlement of Shtula and the southern Lebanese settlements of Adaisseh and Kfar Kila.
🎵Bombs over Tel Aviv🎵
Things in the southeast are very bleak
CW: Death, Trauma
wake up see 900+ new comments wtf managed to sleep through decade in few hrs
Do you think that the more this war ramps up, the even more dangerous it will be to be openly communist or even vaguely leftist?
I didn’t realize how much faith I’d lost in justice until I felt it come surging back at the sight of a hundred Iranian missiles arcing through the sky. I’ll remember this feeling, and keep it close.
The big news of the day on the Donbass front: Russian forces conducted a successful pincer movement and liberated the small, but heavily fortified, southern Donetsk People’s Republic city of Ugledar. The remaining Kiev regime troops attempted fleeing through fields to the city’s north under heavy Russian fire. Some surrendered to save their lives. Below are two videos showing the city’s liberation.
Russian flags and Victory Banners waving over buildings in the DPR’s Ugledar (part 1): https://s5.cdnstatic.space/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/ugl1-3.mp4?_=1
Russian flags and Victory Banners waving over buildings in the DPR’s Ugledar (part 2): https://s5.cdnstatic.space/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/admin.mp4?_=3
