• PhilipTheBucket@ponder.cat
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    2 months ago

    [email protected]

    Any third party that’s telling you to vote for them under FPTP, but isn’t heavily promoting RCV to fix the system, isn’t trying to win. They’re trying to spoil the FPTP election.

    RCV is already law in a surprisingly large number of places. It may change the majority in the house in this upcoming election, because the difference in vote-counting within the two states that use it for US congressional elections might be enough to change the razor-thin outcome.

    RCV is on the ballot, in one form or another, in 7 states and DC this year. Go vote. You might be able to fix the system, and move toward the future that all the people in this thread who are being vocal about Jill Stein say that they want. Remember back when marijuana was illegal? That changed. This can change too, and it would be glorious, for a lot of important goals that a lot of people claiming to support Jill Stein claim they’re supportive of. It would be practical and realistic. It would work.

    Anyone in this thread who is saying Jill Stein is extremely important, but haven’t been saying anything about ranked choice voting or changing the voting system to make third parties realistic: Why? What’s your goal, why did you make that decision about your priorities?

    The answer is obvious, of course. But it’s fun to ask.

    @[email protected], why?

    I’ll add more @s as more people pipe up. They always do.

    Register and vote, for RCV as well as for Harris. We have 25 more days.

    https://www.vote.org/

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        This video was clearly created by leopard supporters who just wanna be mad at tiger for leopard’s failure to beat gorilla. Leopards are basically just light gorillas. Vote tiger.

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        I love CGP Grey, but he doesn’t really understand politics. Proportional representation is a terrible system and leads to party control and extremists gaining too much power. Something a spreadsheet won’t tell you.

    • flames5123@lemmy.world
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      RCV is just slightly better than FTP. Let’s go with the bests and support STAR now. If we do all RCV now, we can rage the system in the next 40 years due to people saying “but we just changed it!”

      • nondescripthandle@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        Star is flawed too, it incentivises people who are voting for the underdog to not rank any other candidate or your own ballot could spoil your preferred candidate. If all thrid party voters voted to mathmatically optimize their candidates chance, Star voting wouldn’t change anything for them. RCV is better if you’re trying to actually engage thrid parties.

        Star doesn’t fix the ‘spoiler effect’ unless you decide not to give your preferred candidate the largest mathematical advantage your ballot can provide, and if you do want to ballot optimize, you should only rank one person, and then were right back to where we started.

      • MisterFrog@lemmy.world
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        RCV in single member electorates is pretty meh, and yeah RCV in general has its issues. But saying it’s “slightly better” than FPTP is a MASSIVE understatement.

        Change begets change, don’t be against changing to something much better, just because it isn’t perfect.

      • Pfeffy@lemmy.world
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        The green party likes it for presidential elections where RCV doesn’t really come into play at all because there aren’t three viable parties. They are just making up grievance politics because rcv would never affect them since they never run for anything but president. Democrats are educated enough to know the green party is a scam and Republicans are too ignorant to vote for anything named green.

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        Certainly not like the DNC which sued to keep RCV off the DC ballot, or Alexandria county VA which opted not to implement it in 2024 because it might confuse the black community?

        • PhilipTheBucket@ponder.cat
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          There are a lot of people in politics who are opposing RCV, because it erodes their power. Some of them are Democrats. Sure. That wasn’t my question. My question was, why is the Green Party spending so much energy pursuing a doomed effort which can only elect Donald Trump, and such an infinitesimal amount of energy on advocating for fixing the system in a way that would let them actually get elected in the future?

          It’s a strange allocation of priorities.

          I did look around for things the Green Party has done to support Ranked Choice Voting. You’ve sent me the RV tag search, which has a press release from January 2024 and the one before that, from February 2023, dealing with RCV. Hooray.

          I did find a substantive thing that Jill Stein herself did to support it in 2017, which actually had something to do with Maine putting it into action: https://mainegreens.org/news/in-the-news/107-jill-stein-joins-push-to-save-ranked-choice-voting-in-maine

          That’s good. Why hasn’t she done anything since then? Why is always the focus on attacking the Democrats, and the focus if at all beyond that is a tepid hand-wave in the direction of RCV, when that is the solution that would lead to them being able to get elected? I didn’t look very hard, but I did look, and this was the most recent thing I was able to find since January:

          https://mainemorningstar.com/2024/10/07/green-party-candidate-jill-stein-praises-maine-voting-system-as-means-to-oppose-genocide/

      • JaymesRS@literature.cafe
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        Paraphrase from Historian Kevin Kruse:

        “No, l’m not voting [for the better one of the two major parties in a first past the post system] this election. But rest assured that when the Trump administration starts arresting my nonwhite neighbors and forcing them onto the trains, I’m going to have a pretty big frown on my face. That way, everyone will know it’s not my fault.”

        • TowardsTheFuture@lemmy.zip
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          Boy if you hate non-white people getting arrested you’re gonna have a bad time finding the person who wrote the crime bill that most often leads to that.

          The point of 3rd party is that they cannot support a DNC that is just fucking cool with simply being slightly less bad than hitler as long as the other guy is literally hitler. Because since 2012 they’ve refused to adopt anything progressive. Because they’ve continually sued to stop progressives. Because they’ve used their own money against progressive democratic candidates in primaries to stop them from getting in, instead of using that money to promote the DNC. They are actively against progressives, so I don’t see the point in blaming the 0.31% of the vote for something the DNC is actively working against. We’ve gone from “we need change” in the DNC to “nothing will fundamentally change”. So I mean… yeah… what do you expect from progressives when neither of the two parties represents them.

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        I didn’t ask whether David Doonan had published a press release on a janky web site which was mostly complaining about Democrats trying to remove Green Party members from the ballot, in this FPTP election. This also somehow finds a way to blame the lack of RCV on the Democrats, when a lot of them support it. Here’s a list:

        https://fairvote.org/our-reforms/ranked-choice-voting/endorsers/

        I don’t see any Green Party people there. I have never heard Jill Stein talk about it, and I’ve heard her say a bunch of things. That’s strange to me. But regardless of that, that’s not what I asked. I also didn’t ask whether you plan to vote for Kamala Harris. My question was:

        Anyone in this thread who is saying Jill Stein is extremely important, but haven’t been saying anything about ranked choice voting or changing the voting system to make third parties realistic: Why? What’s your goal, why did you make that decision about your priorities?

        Do you want to answer that question? You don’t have to. You can change the subject again, if you’d like to.

        • anticolonialist@lemmy.world
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          Green Party and Jill Stein has been talking about RCV way before for Democrats ever started talking about it. And I’m kind of doubting that you listen to anything that anybody, says except for the dnc

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            And yet they aren’t running anyone in Alaska, a state that implemented it this election. Are they campaigning against the ballot initiative to remove it at least?

            Edit: and yet no one has ever replied to me on this. Can they seriously not find a candidate for a party seen as the most environmentalists party in a state filled with conservationists, that the democrats only take some elections in because of their SLIGHTLY better environmental policies?

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        Your comment is fascist and while I was reading it my fascist shoes became untied. I would tie them but the strings are fascist. I apologize for using so many fascist letters in my words. At least periods aren’t fascist… yet.

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    2016 Michgan election results

    Michigan 2016

    I can’t post more than one image because Lemmy/Memmy makes the images fall apart into a 2 mile long scroll.

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        Even without him, Stein had it handled by herself. Why do you think she’s back? Jr, who was funded by a Repub PAC, dropped out. Then Stein re-appeared.

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          How is Stein having 1.1% of votes worse than Johnson having 3.6%? Stein sucks, I’ll make it clear. But how is Stein’s votes being in last place helping Trump when Johnson won more votes than her?

          If every Johnson voter voted Democrat (Libertarians agree with a lot of Democratic opinions, they just don’t see it) then Clinton would have won.

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          No.

          With what logic are you using that all those votes could just be added to Hillary? It’s not how that works. You can just say if it had been completely different it would have been completely different.

          It’s like reaching into a bag and pulling 5 limes and saying if only they had been oranges you could have made orange juice.

          She wants money, sure, and loves to grift off the people that think themselves superior but this is bad math and pure conspiracy at this point.

          Edit: No answer just downvotes cause there isn’t a logical answer just irrational dogpiling to find a scapegoat to appease some strong anxiety. Take a breath. Regroup. Don’t start throwing shit now.

          • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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            No answer just downvotes cause there isn’t a logical answer just irrational dogpiling

            It’s inconceivable that a voter wouldn’t support either major candidate. All green voters become Hilary voters because Democrats and Greens are next to each other on my Ideology For Eighth Graders rubric.

            All you have to do is arrest Jill Stein and put her in “friendly with Russia” jail, and Hilary wins in a 0.1% landslide

          • Eugene V. Debs' Ghost@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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            Somehow Johnson winning more voters with more money than the Green is checks notes proof the Greens are unbashedly evil. Libertarians get more money, are on every state’s ballot, but somehow are never blamed for when Democrats run bad candidates who prop up fascists and ignore swing states.

        • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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          Why do you think she’s back?

          Because she’s candidate who won the primary for her party. Same reason Trump is back for third time.

    • orcrist@lemm.ee
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      Hillary was a terrible candidate. She lost because of that.

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    “Once noble party” - ffs.

    Jill Stein is a bad actor in this election, she understands how the electoral college works and she understands she’s weakening the democratic party position. But let’s not blame shift - the Democrats could be much better on climate change then they are today and if they were better Stein’s BS wouldn’t have such an easy time attracting voters. I dislike the title posing it as “Stein may hand Trump the whitehouse again.”

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      Even if the argument about getting X% of votes was true, the states to campaign heavy in would be the deep blue/red states. Especially since they tend to get ignored by candidates.

      Instead she sticks to the states where <30k votes could decide the election and the market is saturated with the most expensive ad costs

      It’s blantantly obvious what’s she’s doing.

      • the states to campaign heavy in would be the deep blue/red states.

        Agreed. If a third party pulls off a major change in one of these states, it’s still likely to go for it’s color regardless so the presidential outcome is not affected, but it’d force the relevant parties to examine why the third party was able to make such huge inroads and what of their own policies that they should change.

        It’s blantantly obvious what’s she’s doing.

        But for posterity I’ll state it; she’s spoiling for a GOP win.

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          I think you replied to the wrong person. And I’m not sure why you had to include a giant screenshot

          Every instance that federates now has to host that. If everyone was this inconsiderate of server space the federverse couldn’t exist.

          • zephorah@lemm.ee
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            It wasn’t giant on my end, it looked like 2 thumbnails that broke apart into a 2 mile long post that couldn’t be scrolled, so I deleted it. And then your response appeared.

            • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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              It’s now posted three times as a parent comment to the thread…

              And the way deletion works on federated instance none of them are likely to be removed…

              So now 4 copies are taking up space on every instance federated with .world, it adds up

                • Eh, it’s possible to configure an instance to not pull down images but just link to the source. I speak from personal experience here.

                  Also, the commenter is wrong about deletion - I’ve seen my own instance deleting images because a request to do so got federated in. (Again, speaking from personal experience.)

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        Yeah, that’s the nature of the Electoral College. It sucks. Do you think the Electoral College is something Kamala Harris invented or even wants?

        Hate the game, not the playa.

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            No I think the point is that of course she campaigns in swing states cause she wants to get to 5% of the vote so she can get access to more money. But it’s the same stayes everyone is paying attention too.

            Its false logic to say she’s only dangerous in those states cause they are already close and we just have to pay extra attention to them because they are the swing states.

            Is coincidental pattern seeking.

            • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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              Its false logic to say she’s only dangerous in those states cause they are already close and we just have to pay extra attention to them because they are the swing states.

              The 5% can come from Cali alone and not effect the race tho.

              And it would be cheaper because of less competition for ads, the voters there are often ignored and would more receptive, and there are way more voters who are left of the Dem.party there

              If she is honestly trying to do what she says, then she is doing it in the least efficient way possible and has been for a very long time.

              If what she’s really doing is trying to hand Republicans the election, then she seems to have put a lot of thought into the best possible way to do it and is focusing on that.

              So take your pick:

              1. She’s honest but a terrible leader and absolutely dog shit at planning.

              2. She’s a liar but either her or her handlers have put a lot of thought into how to get trump elected.

              • Krauerking@lemy.lol
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                She would have to get over 5% in California for it to count at a federal level and there is of course the fact that it’s a wealthy Democratic party stronghold so they actually might spend hard to punish her for trying to take votes. I mean look at all the lawsuits filed to keep Green Party off ballot elsewhere.

                I don’t see a situation where she is let to just campaign cause we can already see the response when she just gets her normal voters.

                I don’t think she’s smart. She’s been searching for something that makes her feel important ever since she realized she hated working and saying out loud the obvious broken stuff even though she doesn’t have plans to fix it gets her attention and more money.

                She got giddy that she was talked about in Russia because she thinks it’s awesome people know her…
                Don’t assume malice where stupidity is an option first.

                Yeah she’s a sucky leader that stole the green party for herself and uses it as a piggy bank and self morality boost but she gets the people by being not the Democrats or Republicans. Do other people try to take advantage of that? Hell yeah. I bet one of her advisors probably embezzles funds to pay themselves more. Lots of people are shitty in different ways. This is hoping for an easy answer to the world being a mess. Same way people hope their is aliens secretly running things.

                • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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                  What?

                  When they talk about the 5% line, it’s the national vote, not in each state…

                  Just 5 percent of the national vote for the Green Party Stein/Baraka ticket can be a true game-changer for American politics. It will qualify the Green Party for recognition as an official national party, and for federal funding in the 2020 presidential race proportional to the amount of votes received — at least $8 million to $10 million

                  https://www.cnbc.com/2016/10/27/why-5-for-the-green-party-is-a-win-for-america-jill-stein-commentary.html

                  Which is why it makes no sense to focus on battleground states.

                  I didn’t read anything last your first sentence tho since it was built off a misunderstanding.

                  Do you still have other questions?

              • Krauerking@lemy.lol
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                Just an aside, this person thinks that the green party should just get 5% of the national population to vote for them from a single state and that it wouldn’t change anything or cause any ripples.

                5% of the US population is about 18 million people.

                17 million voted in the state of California in total in 2020.

                Remember everyone. Basic math isn’t just a thing your teacher thought would be important for no reason. It does have use in the real world.

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      The GOP is the “drill baby drill” party though.

      The Green Party is not going to win. The only message that voting for Jill Stein will send to the Democratic party is they need to move more to the center to get more reliable voters. It’s already heppening. Harris doesn’t like fracking but she’s not going to ban it and she has to talk about increase US oil production to get votes from people she knows will turn up and won’t flake out and vote green or be uncommitted or whatever.

      If she wins she will be more inclined to fulfill promises made to the people who actually voted for her. Sure she’ll need to represent everyone, but there’ll be far more people that voted GOP she’ll need to represent (and entice to maybe vote for her in the next election) than green party voters.

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        I think that Hillary Clinton showed us the opposite. If the Democratic candidate goes too close to the center, they risk losing the left, and they deserve to lose the left at that point. If the Democrats had tried to put a halfway decent strategy together about Israel, there would be zero worry about a third party. And I don’t like single issue voters, but if I had to pick a single issue, genocide would be at the top of the list.

        • Eugene V. Debs' Ghost@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          “Genocide is a single issue” is basically “I’ve tuned out the screaming so how can you hear it?”

          Back in 2004 when we bombed countries it was considered murder and bad. Bush then normalized it with “You just love 9/11, commie!”, Obama continued it, Trump expanded it, and now Biden helped to normalize it.

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          If the Democrats conform to Iranian disinformation campaigns about Israel, how would they be any different from Republicans that conform to Russian disinformation campaigns about Ukraine?

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        Voting isn’t public so how the hell does everyone keep assuming we know who voted for her at the election?

        The people that didn’t vote for her didn’t vote for her.
        You can’t claim she didn’t get the trump republican voters so it’s an indicator she needs to move to the left, right? Or Libertarian party?

        Its weird false logic based on feelings about justifying a truly tiny group of people voting green as villians. the main base of Kamalas voters should also be Democrats who shouldn’t pander and frack just cause she needed an extra 2% at the polls. We are gonna shift further right for that and more Republicans instead of going for any undecided first?

        I don’t get it. Make the logic make sense.

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          I’m not saying people that vote green are villains. They’re just ignorant of how things work and act irrationally because of their ignorance.

      • aubeynarf@lemmynsfw.com
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        funny that with instant runoff voting, your vote would go to a larger party as soon as your fringe candidate got eliminated.

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          Perhaps, but I’d feel a lot better knowing I was able to vote for my fringe nutjob without handing their fringe nutjob the Whitehouse. And if my fringe nutjob lost, then I could still keep voting for who I truly believe is best. And by the time all my fringe nutjobs were eliminated, and I had to vote for a Democrat again, I’d at least know that we truly and democratically came to that answer. I don’t have to be “right” about the best candidate, but I hate casting a damage control vote that feels like a lie.

          So as it stands, I hate voting, I hate having to vote for Democrats, and I just suck it up and do it anyway because we don’t have the time to collectively push for a better option.

          Plus, if everyone could vote for their fringe nutjob without fear of giving the election to the worst possible option, we might find out that more people support ideas outside of the two party system. Maybe even shifting the Overton window and opening the door for a more representative electorate.

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            This might surprise some people, but I actually agree with this. I’d love to take a risk on a Green or Socialist or even Libertarian candidate without risking throwing my vote away to the Republican. I’d still not do it with Presidents (the Electoral College fucks you over there), but I’m voting for RCV this November and look forward to eventually being able to not just vote for the lesser evil, nor have to vote for the crook because the other option in that election is a literal fascist…

          • Donebrach@lemmy.world
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            Maybe those grifters should run for lower offices first instead of wasting peoples’ time and money on un-winnable elections that are entirely beholden to what congress’ makeup ends up being.

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              Maybe, but since you don’t know who my personal nutjobs are, maybe your assumptions are fundamentally flawed? Maybe they have run for lower office? Maybe they have won elections? Maybe they aren’t grifters, but concerned citizens who truly want to make a difference in the best way they know how? Maybe assuming someone is falling for grifters is a bit unfair?

              Or maybe I was taken in by a grifter all along and would still benefit from Ranked Choice Voting so I don’t throw away my vote and let Trump back in the Whitehouse? Either way it’s an improvement.

              Fwiw, my personal nutjob is Bernie, and even if he didn’t win, I consider the shift he made in American politics to have value in its own right.

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          I think these guys would leave the Dems unranked. I suspect they’d even rank Republicans over them, with the amount of “hate Dems” they got going.

          Americans as a whole are dumb. Expecting them to use RCV like it should be used is like expecting a pigeon to play chess. We know what actually happens when you try to play chess with a pigeon.

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            OK that’s just bullying and imagining the worst to make yourself feel better about this.

            Jumping to this “hate dems” thing when most seem to just be nitpicking also feels a but much. And you are just stereotyping.

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          not when the ballot looks like:

          ___ democrat
          ___ republican
          ___ independent
          ___ independent
          _2_ honest guy without a chance in hell
          ___ who da fk is this guy
          _1_ fringe nutjob

          • WraithGear@lemmy.world
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            Run off voting would give the honest guy the greatest chance at winning. There would be no strategic voting, just voting for the one who best represents you, and a bare minimum contingency.

            • chaogomu@lemmy.world
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              Unfortunately that’s not how RCV works.

              There’s a lot of misinformation about RCV, claims that just aren’t supported in reality. And one of those is false claims is that RCV is in any way good for third parties.

              At it’s core, RCV is just a series of First Past the Post mini elections on a single ballot.

              That creates problems.

              • PhilipTheBucket@ponder.cat
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                Unfortunately that’s not how cereal works.

                There’s a lot of misinformation about cereal, claims that just aren’t supported in reality. And one of those false claims is that you can just put cereal in a bowl with milk in it.

                At it’s core, cereal is just a series of very small, crunchy loaves of bread, in a single bowl.

                That creates problems.

                • chaogomu@lemmy.world
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                  Ordinal voting systems cannot support third parties due to Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem.

                  I don’t get why RCV proponents constantly lie about it. But then again, it doesn’t actually fix the problems present in First Past the Post, because at its core, Ranked Choice is First Past the Post, just repeated a bunch on a single ballot.

                  That leads to some odd situations where you can actually decrease support for your preferred candidate to help them win.

                  How that one works is if you have A, B, and C, with the election normally being a contest of B and C, C voters can strategically boost A until B is knocked out of the election. Then B votes get redistributed, with a percentage going to C, so that C now wins.

                  All because C lowered their first round support a bit, while demonizing A among B voters.

                  This same sort of mechanism has resulted in odd candidates winning real world elections. Like the Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Race of 2009.

                  Also, if you add more candidates to the ballot, this sort of attack becomes easier, not harder.


                  Then there’s Ballot Exhaustion. This is where your ballot no longer has any viable candidate left to transfer votes to. But here’s the kicker, your ballot can be gutted down the middle before your vote can transfer. If you have A, B, C, D, and E, on your ballot and B, C, D, and E, get eliminated before A, your vote gets thrown away. Even if transferring it to B, C, D, or E would have had them win. It doesn’t matter at all, because the rules of the system so that those candidates are out.

                  Even if literally every single voter puts B as their second choice, with no other candidates reaching that magic 50% in the first round, B is eliminated.

                  And about that magic 50%. It’s not 50% of the initial vote, it’s 50% of the ballots that are left in that round. So with Ballot Exhaustion sometimes reaching as much as 18% of all ballots cast, you can have a winner who is only supported by 41% of the population. Or rather, 41% of the voters in that election.


                  Let’s see, other red flags… RCV needs to be counted in a centralized location, so you have to transport the ballots. That adds to the time that counting takes, and adds security issues. Makes it very easy for the people counting to steal an election.

                  Then there’s the complexity of the count itself. That has caused problems, like the wrong candidate being sworn in, because the people counting screwed up.

                  https://abc7news.com/ranked-choice-voting-oakland-school-board-director-district-4-race-mike-hutchinson-alameda-county-registrar-of-voters/12626221/


                  Overall, the system is actually a step backwards from what we have, and gets in the way of actual election reform, because people say “we already tried that, and it made things worse”.

                  The actual reform needs to be a Cardinal voting system, Like Approval or STAR. Cardinal voting systems actually live up to the promise, and allow third parties to grow and flourish without punishing voters for wanting something different.

      • Semi-Hemi-Lemmygod@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        The only person who would represent me is myself, and I wouldn’t vote for myself because I don’t want that shitty job

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        2 months ago

        So you’re saying that Jill Stein, the Russian asset who is actively working to get Donald Trump elected president, represents you and your group?

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          They need to earn votes.

          The Senate investigated that dinner and found nothing. Everything you don’t like isnt always Russian

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            Online trolls from the Kremlin-backed Internet Research Agency used social media to promote Stein’s candidacy during the 2016 campaign, according to an indictment brought by special counsel Robert Mueller against the Russian organization and 13 of its employees. The Russians’ pro-Stein efforts included paid advertisements on Facebook that explicitly encouraged Americans to vote for Stein, according to the indictment.

            A summation of the report’s findings on “comprehensive anti-Hillary Clinton operations” said while the group’s assumed Twitter personas had some pro-Clinton content, “the developed Left-wing Twitter personas were still largely anti-Clinton and expressed pro-Bernie Sanders and pro-Jill Stein sentiments.”

            Likewise, the report said “pro-Bernie Sanders and Jill Stein content” were among the group’s go-to themes across other platforms.

            The tactics and strategies that the Kremlin directed included every major social media platform you can think of — Facebook, Instagram, Twitter — and a few you’d never suspect, including Pinterest, LinkedIn and 4Chan. The hashtags alone tell the story— #MAGA #TrumpTrain #Hillary4Prison #ZombieHillary #SickHillary. Along with anti-Clinton stories, they also pushed out messages against Trump’s primary rivals like Sen. Ted Cruz and former Gov. Jeb Bush. Once in the general election, they pumped up third-party candidates to siphon support away from Clinton with posts including, “A vote for Jill Stein is not a wasted vote.”

            Not everything I don’t like is Russian. But some Russian things, I don’t like.

          • bobburger@fedia.io
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            lol, what a stupid way to say “yes, Jill Stein and her active campaign to get Donald Trump elected does support my values”

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              Third parties wouldn’t be a threat to their power if they weren’t shit parties.

              Why don’t liberals vote for Trump and push him left after the election, since that worked out so well with Biden.

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            The Senate investigation found nothing illegal. That doesn’t mean Stein isn’t trying to help russian interests.

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                And trump is in Israel’s too. He’s in every pocket with a pocket book. You know he’ll give israel everything they want and then some. I wouldn’t be surprised at another Kent state over this if he gets elected.

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        Why aren’t you so noisy during primaries?

        Oh that’s right, your true intentions are masked by bullshit.

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      What kills me about this is if the neolib dems had taken just a moment at the primary to cast their vote for undecided to show the Dem leadership that genocide was a non negotiable issue they should do the right thing on, it might have worked.
      It would have cost absolutely nothing, and we might be coasting to an easy victory right now. Instead we’re here.

      • KillingTimeItself@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        What kills me about this is if the neolib dems had taken just a moment at the primary to cast their vote for undecided to show the Dem leadership that genocide was a non negotiable issue they should do the right thing on, it might have worked.

        wait, what’s stopping them? Not voting because it’s not important to them? Sounds like democracy working as intended to me.

      • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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        100%

        But look around this place. Its still the same Blue MAGA here trying to bash peoples head in (now for Harris, then for Biden) as before.

        The same people that would demand we drive off a cliff with Biden at the wheel are the ones insisting that we need to support Harris in-spite of her genocide policy, instead of trying to move her on the issue. Like we literally need her to fix her policy or she literally can’t get elected. And its self-evident in the data we have. She’s now losing, not even accounting for the structural biases we should very much expect from RW fuckery and the EC.

        Like just come out against genocide. Its fucking easy. It can be a fucking lie. Just fucking lie to us so we can convince enough people to get you elected Harris.

        • sorval_the_eeter@lemmy.world
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          Man. I wonder if we are going to lose. Its definitely possible at this point, but hard to imagine. How awful are our dem candidates to lose to an insane peice of human trash like Trump

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            Pro fracking. Anti gun control. Pro Electoral College. Pro “entrepreneur” economics. Can sip a beer and barely look disgusted. Pro war. Pro taxation and tariffs. Anti environmental protections for big businesses. And pro death penalty.

            I mean we already had early 2000 Republican presidents and the Republicans want someone worse and the Democrats that want change don’t want it either.

            So pretty bad.

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            Oh no they were definable here before. I’ve got the receipts, the saved threads , etc. I mean hell some are mods. But you know what happened? They dumped those accounts, if they weren’t super well known. if you want names I’ve got names.

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              Hahaha yeah man people forget how vitriolic and cruel the Blues were when told their candidate might lose.

              Refuse to be told they might need to change tactics and double down on slamming face first into a brick wall for the sake of not having to question their beliefs and having someone else to blame.

              But they are coming back now again that the “hope” has worn off and nothing feels different. Got to punch down to keep their self cope up.

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                Punch down to keep the cope up.

                That is a great way to out it. They wouldn’t be as emboldened if not for the also toxic moderation in this place .

              • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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                And you are 💯 correct. I’ve done my best to document it, because to me, its an incredibly important and interesting phenomena. It’s almost exactly what happens to MAGA in their toxic dismissal of a shared reality. I’m going to save this and when I’m a bit more ready with something, I may reach out.

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      People just want someone to be mad at in case Harris loses

      Because Harris losing simply could not be her own fault, if it happened

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        There is a world in which it’s not her fault or anyone else’s fault. You can run a flawless campaign and lose for reasons beyond your control, or any other single stakeholder’s control.

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          Yeah, Picard Principle at play here. You can commit no mistakes and still lose. I can argue that there are a few things that Harris could do better. Americans are stupid and cruel as a whole…you tact too hard to the Left, you piss off the moderate voters and they stay home, vote Third Party, or worse, vote Trump, and if you tact too hard to the Right, you piss off liberal voters, and while they are less likely to vote Trump, you still lose their votes.

          Man, we shouldn’t even be having this conversation at all. Trump is a convicted felon. He should be in jail right now, getting ready for the next trials.

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            I’m amazed that anyone is still buying the “moderate voters” bullshit. Just try to picture an actual human being who’s politics have left them scratching their heads between Harris and Trump. “If only Harris would do a little more for corporations. Oh well, I guess I’ll stick with the racist orange insurrectionist.”

            It’s not about moderate voters. If anything it’s about the median voter, but that’s a very different animal. The median voter in this country is wacky as fuck with political opinions that are all over the place. The one thing they almost all have in common is that they hate establishment politicians from both parties. Harris is trying to get their votes by being even more establishment, and it’s going to be a disaster.

            The one hope we have is the end of RvW. If that’s woken up enough women voters, then we still can win. Republicans may have screwed themselves so badly that even establishment Democrats can beat them. Let’s hope.

            • aesthelete@lemmy.world
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              Just try to picture an actual human being who’s politics have left them scratching their heads between Harris and Trump. “If only Harris would do a little more for corporations. Oh well, I guess I’ll stick with the racist orange insurrectionist.”

              The more I think about it, the more I realize that economics is a pseudoscience specifically designed to couch terrible actions of governments and corporations behind inevitability arguments.

              After all, we cannot have prices rise.

              So, we must continue with the sweatshops. We must continue with the factory farms. We must continue to drill baby drill. We must continue to build shoddy houses on flood plains…and on and on and on.

              When people say they trust Trump more “with the economy”, it’s perhaps because they know he’ll continue all of the above with a sloppy, sweaty grin and a shitty, little dance.

              • Krauerking@lemy.lol
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                Oh for sure. The people most concerned with Trumps policies are the wealthy who think it might hurt their business.

                Porn, import, healthcare industries. Lots of rich people who see they won’t get fair treatment either for their wealth alone like they expect from the duopoly they have been benefitting from for decades.

                Its why MAGA think its somehow great cause everyone will burn but somehow they will escape the fire because… God?

                Its corruption and insanity everywhere you look.

            • KillingTimeItself@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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              I’m amazed that anyone is still buying the “moderate voters” bullshit. Just try to picture an actual human being who’s politics have left them scratching their heads between Harris and Trump. “If only Harris would do a little more for corporations. Oh well, I guess I’ll stick with the racist orange insurrectionist.”

              that’s not how moderate voters work, you’re ascribing 100s of years of politics onto the one weird 8 year period, the only moderate voting for trump is a republican. And that’s only because they’re stupid and don’t do research.

              Like to be clear, moderates are not swing voters, and swing voters are not moderates, there is no “scratching your head” here. This isn’t a real scenario.

              Just to expand upon this a bit, moderate dem voters are voting for kamala, moderate republicans could probably go either way, depends on how much they care about the parties or how much research they’ve done.

              Independents will do as they have always done, voting weirdly for no particular reason.

              Republicans may have screwed themselves so badly that even establishment Democrats can beat them. Let’s hope.

              this is completely true, republicans have basically fractured themselves in half, if not thirds, if trump gets out of the running, the party collapses, simple as that. Dems are in a massive position right now since the harris campaign is pushing for more moderate voters (the majority of the party, and independents as well as straggler moderates on the other side) and in some significant capacity, farther lefties who would literally rather vote for anyone other than trump.

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          How are we defining ‘flawless’, exactly?

          All else aside - yea, I actually kinda agree with this, though I get the distinct impression not in the way you mean it.

          edit - what happens if it’s the undecided vote that causes harris to lose, not Stein?

          • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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            Then she should have messaged better on Israel. On that particular item I also feel like Netanyahu is on a timeline. I’m not sure he cares about the election though. More like he’s trying to get us pulled into a conflict with Iran before January because Biden can’t stand up to him. If he thinks Biden is just locked by the election then he’ll try to do it this month. Harris’ messaging doesn’t really take that into account in my opinion.

            • archomrade [he/him]@midwest.social
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              Then she should have messaged better on Israel

              I’d much rather her do more than message better, but i’d take clear messaging over whatever the fuck we’ve been getting.

            • Tinidril@midwest.social
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              There is no candidate who can win this race that won’t keep writing blank checks for Israel. If anything, Netanyahu wants Trump to win. He is enraged by even the minimal pushback he gets from the Biden administration.

              • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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                There’s a chance Harris is more like Obama and reigns in everything but iron dome reloads, while actually holding them responsible for settler violence. If your standard is completely disengage from Israel then yeah we aren’t there yet politically. Although shooting at the UN might just fucking do it.

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              I’m asking who you’ll decide to blame, since that seems to be the focus.

              If you’re unconcerned with blame then maybe there’s no disagreement here.

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                Undecided voters are imo always a contemptible lot, but no more this election than any other.

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                  Undecided voters are imo always a contemptible lot

                  Maybe read this a few times yourself and see if you can spot the problem on your own.

        • LustyArgonian@lemmy.world
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          Which is wild because most people, especially people her age, have a very similar non-partisan opinion which imo should be encouraged as a sign of critical and independent thought.

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          in defense of not her, she did make a pretty fucking stupid statement. It was worded like ass and not very clear on the message. Idk why she was surprised by the response she garnered.

          You can’t just show up on the internet, make a vague political statement to hundreds of thousands of people, and then expect every single one of them to understand it lmao.

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        I’m going to blame [Undecided] if that happens, but we all know [Undecided] is going to become vapor just after the election and then reroll and alt character masquerading as a victim of their own ignorance come November…

        So yeah… we all know they won’t be around to take their bow and own it.

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          This rhetoric is sure to convince all those Muslims in Michigan whose family members are being blown up by US bombs. Keep up the good work, neolib crusader!

          • KillingTimeItself@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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            listen bro, it’s the will of the voters, if they decide to do that, and they end up with trump being elected, that’s not my problem.

            Idk why the harris campaign has to specifically cater towards the muslim population of MI here, seems rather odd to me.

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                yeah maybe. It might not do anything either.

                Could do anything, Michigan may not even matter at all. It’s probably more impactful to mobilize moderate voters nationally (there are more of them) than to mobilize a single subset of a Michigan voters.

        • aesthelete@lemmy.world
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          So yeah… we all know they won’t be around to take their bow and own it.

          I’ve noticed that it’s not only undecideds that disappear after the election. It’s also everyone that voted for the last Republican after the inevitable (because they’re terrible at governance) crisis occurs. I remember when George W. Bush’s presidency ended in complete disaster, and suddenly there was nobody that voted for GWB to be found.

          Ultimately, if Trump wins, there will be plenty of blame games afterwards, but, in my opinion, they won’t matter. That talk may occupy a lot of paper space in the quaint period between him winning the election and January 20th, 2025, but a second Trump presidency will be such an utter disaster that the talk of “how we got here” will be rendered irrelevant by the urgent need to survive the many self-created crises that it’ll cause.

          And I suspect that you’re right, it will suddenly be impossible afterwards to find people who were on the fence about supporting Harris.

          • orcrist@lemm.ee
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            If you’re going around asking people who they voted for, after any election, expect to be ignored by many.

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              It’s not that. They’re all active on online forums and in media and then suddenly none of them can be found.

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        Yeah why don’t we all just send Harris a harshly worded letter while ignoring people who throw away their vote. Yep absolutely makes sense!

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          Ignoring people instead of, what?.. Railing against voters who are rightfully upset at Harris’s ambivalence about Israel’s genocide?

          You think constantly yelling at undecided protestors and blaming them for “Jim Crow V2 - Electric Boogaloo” is going to change their mind?

          Get over yourself. The only good that comes from whining about third party candidates spoiling democratic victory is situating the blame if/when Harris loses. It does nothing to convince undecideds, and I’d argue it turns a lot of casual voters off from going to the booth at all.

          Might even be radicalizing progressives into tankies, wouldn’t that be exciting.

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    Note: Jill is literally paid to run as a spoiler, and if you look at her actual policies, lot of transphobia, ablism, and support for pseudoscience

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      This shouldn’t surprise anyone considering her source.

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    2016 Pennsylvania results

    Pennsylvania 2016

    I can’t post more than one image because Lemmy/Memmy makes the images fall apart into a 2 mile long scroll.

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    2016 Wisconsin election results

    Wisconsin 2016.

    I can’t post more than one image because Lemmy/Memmy makes the images fall apart into a 2 mile long scroll.

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    I don’t understand why it is taken for granted that if Stein wasn’t a candidate the people who vote for her would be voting for the Democrats instead. Just as likely they would not vote at all or vote for some other protest candidate.

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        The spoiler candidate logic has always been sketchy.

        it depends on how popular third party is. If they’re getting 20-30% of the vote but no more it’s extremely common for them to drop out to support the primary instead.

        Anything lower than 10% and it probably doesn’t matter much. RFK jr is a decent exmaple of this, although he was more “bipartisan” in terms of support, apparently.

        • turmacar@lemmy.world
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          2 months ago

          The last US Presidential election decided with more than a 10% margin was Regan. The only vote with above a 5% margin this millennium was Obama’s first term.

          “Anything lower than 10% and it probably doesn’t matter much” is a weird take.

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            As in that’s such a small group they are probably more dedicated to their candidate and won’t vote for anyone else.

            Again. You can’t expect to remove candidates from a ballot and their support will all just vote Democrat. It’s a false logic to assume they belong to anywhere else other than their vote block.
            When you have a large base that small percentage that’s willing to vote off base ends up being a larger percentage of the vote overall as well.

            Currently you would have to get every single last green party voter to give up and vote Blue which is an impossible ask. So even at 5% of the vote I’m not sure they could swing an election with enough if their candidate asked nicely.
            They went high with their estimate though.

            • KillingTimeItself@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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              yeah, my 10% figure was probably generous, but i think i would probably stand by it in most cases, as unless you’re polling 20% at bare minimum you’re probably dropping out of primaries anyway out of fears of “siphoning” votes. Realistically the outcome between the two alternatives here is probably marginal, if at all.

          • KillingTimeItself@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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            this is assuming that the voter split isn’t roughly at random. Jill stein is running on either extremely far left anti war sentiment, which we see among the right as well, along with cozying up to russia apparently, which only tankies and farther right people want.

            That alone is pretty mixed.

            Generally unless the candidate is going to pull a large enough share of the votes to the point where it enact a significant draw from the candidate hence my 20-30% figure, it really won’t do anything to the voter turnout. Like i said, as we saw with RFK, it was roughly split down the middle.

            Jill stein might pull more far lefties, but that’s only because they refuse to vote in their best interest lmao. They wouldn’t vote anyway.

            • WamGams@lemmy.ca
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              Conservative voters are not anti-war, they are anti-Russian war, and the Republican ticket already addresses that. These people don’t historically vote for left wing parties, nor are they in this case.

              The green party’s base is pot smokers and college students who haven’t gotten wise to the green grift yet.

              • KillingTimeItself@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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                Conservative voters are not anti-war, they are anti-Russian war, and the Republican ticket already addresses that. These people don’t historically vote for left wing parties, nor are they in this case.

                it depends. Some of them are anti-war because they’re isolationist, and they don’t want to be a part of the ongoing global politics thingy. Some of them as you said, are anti russian war, which is absolutely true. A lot of these same republicans also support israel, although that might be construed differently since they are technically an ally of the US. But that is pretty the case there.

                The green party’s base is pot smokers and college students who haven’t gotten wise to the green grift yet.

                it’s either stupid people who don’t know anything about politics, or people who think the green party is a real political party lol.

    • morphballganon@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      Because people who are disillusioned that the green party would address their concerns are generally not complete shitheads like republicans; they’re decent but misled people.

      • basmati@lemmus.org
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        2 months ago

        Voting for genocide will never be something you can convince humans is in their best interest as close to their preferred ideology.

        • agamemnonymous@sh.itjust.works
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          Genocide is bad. Multiple genocides, and faster, is worse. One genocide is closer to my preferred ideology of zero genocides than that same genocide but worse, plus additional genocides. The only people who are unconvinced by that arithmetic are idealists who care more about maintaining their ideological purity than actually helping people.

          • basmati@lemmus.org
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            I’m not voting for any genocide, sorry. It sucks you have no red line, no limit to your loyalty, no bottom depth to your depravity you willingly vote for, but I have a simple one:

            No genocide.

            Until the US stops contributing soft power, arms, cash, and troops on the ground to a genocide, the people in exclusive control of that don’t get my vote.

            • agamemnonymous@sh.itjust.works
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              You have a fundamental misunderstanding of how voting works, mechanically, in a FPTP system. You don’t vote for things. You vote against them.

              Once RCV takes hold (thank your local and state representatives) I’ll be right there beside you voting my conscience. Until then, that’s not a productive strategy. It does not achieve the intended goal.

              Lesser evil buys time. Vote for progressives on your state ballots. If there aren’t any, vote for progressives on your local ballots. If there aren’t any, run for local office as a progressive.

              • basmati@lemmus.org
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                You’ve been voting the lesser evil for 80 years, does it feel like it’s bought you time?

                I’m not voting for genocide, in voting against it, hence why I’m not voting for Dems or Reps.

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                  Sounds like you’re voting hard in favor of worse genocide. Either that or basic logic isn’t your strong suit and you’re doing it unknowingly

                • agamemnonymous@sh.itjust.works
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                  You’ve been voting the lesser evil for 80 years, does it feel like it’s bought you time?

                  Unequivocally yes. Imagine if the right wing clinched power in 1944 and never lost traction. You think civil rights would be better?

                  I’m not voting for genocide, in voting against it, hence why I’m not voting for Dems or Reps.

                  What’s that accomplished in the last 80 years?

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          The road to hell is paved with good intentions. Voting for a fringe-left party rather than Democrats increases the chance, and represents direct personal action leading to, a worse outcome for Palestinians.

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            Palestinians seems to think otherwise, I’ll follow their lead. I was going to vote for the Palestinian candidate directly but I’ll be honest, PSL is better for the world than green.

  • mlg@lemmy.world
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    It was nice to see the World News community finally realize that the DNC has been doing nothing but shooting themselves in the foot for a year.

    Maybe this community will finally catch on and connect the dots between a random ass 3rd party getting blamed for stealing votes away from the Democrats, and Democrats not actually meeting the core demands of their constituency.

    Or maybe not…

    • Eugene V. Debs' Ghost@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      Maybe someday we’ll have people blame the DNC for choosing to back unpopular opinions/policies losing the popularity contest against “Literal Evil Fascist with the Playbook of How To Do Evil 101, but Fox News said it’s cool”.

      But instead we need a new scapegoat for when Greens come in 4th place to the Libertarian’s “I just wanna date this 14 year old with my rifle and say the N-word out loud without backlash.”

      • KillingTimeItself@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        Maybe someday we’ll have people blame the DNC for choosing to back unpopular opinions/policies losing the popularity contest against

        the DNC is choosing unpopular policy? Brother this is a representative democracy. If harris wins, it’s because it was the popular policy/stances. There is literally no alternative here unless you thing there is a deep state rigging the elections or that the majority of the american populous isn’t real or something lmao.

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          the DNC is choosing unpopular policy? Brother this is a representative democracy. If harris wins, it’s because it was the popular policy/stances.

          Uhh… No. Fracking isn’t even popular as a majority position in PA where she’s pushing it. But she’s gonna anyways cause for some reason the minority is the “better” place to scrape votes from?

          And in a 2 party system if one side is “literally evil” the other basically knows they have a blank check to run on as long as it’s not the same policy as the evil side or else why would voters swap sides when evil wasn’t a disqualifier?

          We have polls that literally tell us what the popular positions are. Harris is not listening to those so whatever the reason is its not popularity.

          • KillingTimeItself@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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            Uhh… No. Fracking isn’t even popular as a majority position in PA where she’s pushing it. But she’s gonna anyways cause for some reason the minority is the “better” place to scrape votes from?

            oh im sorry i didn’t realize kamala was running for the federal presidential role of PA specifically.

            And in a 2 party system if one side is “literally evil” the other basically knows they have a blank check to run on as long as it’s not the same policy as the evil side or else why would voters swap sides when evil wasn’t a disqualifier?

            this is sort of true, but a substantial chunk of US voters believe that kamala harris is the “evil” not donald trump. so this isn’t exactly a bull in a china shop situation here. This is more like a bull vaguely around a china shop.

            We have polls that literally tell us what the popular positions are. Harris is not listening to those so whatever the reason is its not popularity.

            i mean that’s a fair statement, but she wouldn’t be running on fracking if she thought it was detrimental, so it’s either not a huge concern for most voters, or there is something more than being let on in the rhetoric here.

            At the very least we know kamala will more than likely support a real EPA, so maybe the idea is to push environmental concerns from fracking into the territory of the EPA and local areas, rather than doing a federal ban on fracking. Which i would be fully in support of. The EPA should absolutely have more power.

            • Dragonstaff@leminal.space
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              i mean that’s a fair statement, but she wouldn’t be running on fracking if she thought it was detrimental, so it’s either not a huge concern for most voters, or there is something more than being let on in the rhetoric here.

              You’re begging the question here. If Democrats paid attention to their voters we wouldn’t be having this conversation. Generally, critics of Dem strategy believe that they are too beholden to wealthy donors.

              Democrats blame Jill Stein for Clinton’s loss. But Dems can’t force her not to run again, or people not to vote for her. If Kamala doesn’t win, it will be because she didn’t convince enough people to vote for her, not because Jill Stein is running.

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                If Kamala doesn’t win, it will be because she didn’t convince enough people to vote for her, not because Jill Stein is running.

                dems absolutely can’t handle this

              • KillingTimeItself@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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                You’re begging the question here. If Democrats paid attention to their voters we wouldn’t be having this conversation. Generally, critics of Dem strategy believe that they are too beholden to wealthy donors.

                are you proposing that a candidate should work to appeal to 100% of their voter base, rather than the most broad constituent beliefs of it? The wealthy donor thing is a problem, over party lines, that’s an interesting one to solve so i’m not really surprised there.

                But to be fair, if we did stop fracking, it might be detrimental to the oil market right now, considering the position that the global oil industry is in, is, less than ideal. So there is also a reason to push for fracking given the current global market at the moment.

                Democrats blame Jill Stein for Clinton’s loss. But Dems can’t force her not to run again, or people not to vote for her. If Kamala doesn’t win, it will be because she didn’t convince enough people to vote for her, not because Jill Stein is running.

                i consider this a voter skill issue, rather than a candidate issue, just vote for the better person lmao. Voting for stein is like voting for a brick wall, except one that wastes money.

                • Dragonstaff@leminal.space
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                  a candidate should work to appeal to 100% of their voter base

                  Less a proposal and more of a fact: People won’t vote for a candidate who does not support the issues that they support. You can’t expect a voter who is against fracking to vote for a candidate who supports fracking.

                  If Kamala supports fracking and the majority of voters do not, it is up to her to change, not the voters.

                  i consider this a voter skill issue

                  Yeah… Democrats want to blame the voters so they can continue to court wealthy donors. If everyone in Michigan promises to “Vote Blue No Matter Who” then they can continue arming Israel without losing any Muslim votes. Unfortunately that’s not how things work.

    • aubeynarf@lemmynsfw.com
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      Yes, the party that gets 1% of the vote represents the will of the people, not the one that turns out record numbers of voters and routinely takes the national majority.

  • KillingTimeItself@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    jesus christ this thread is a fucking nightmare bro

    i feel like i’ve done three pounds of ketamine just scrolling through these comments.

  • sorval_the_eeter@lemmy.world
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    Its the genocide thats the problem-- Steins numbres are small… And Jill Stein owes the dems nothing, she can run if she wants. Thats what democracy is about. So the new republic can suck it.

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      Everything you said is true. But it has nothing to do with the article. It’s about how her campaign seems to be more a grift than pushing green policies, and aimed at taking votes from Harris in swing states than actually trying to win any election.

      She can obviously do what she wants, but it doesn’t appear she is being genuine.

      • sorval_the_eeter@lemmy.world
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        Thats fine. Theres only 2% of the electorate who are jewish, and a good portion of that 2% also dont support the zionist faction. We give some of them and the youth voters a voice to fight on our behalf. We need to keep the youth vote on side or the party is long term doomed anyway. Any leader who says they are swayed by the voice of youth has a long career ahead of them.

        We also say that, “we arent steering the US away from support of Israel, we’re steering it away from the far right government sponsored violence of Netenyahu.” And we claim we’re happy to be friends again when moderates or lefties are in charge in Israel. The zionists cant pretend to have clean hands, and Netenyahu needs to go.

        • ZILtoid1991@lemmy.world
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          Media coverage can make or break a campaign. They absolutely destroyed Jeremy Corbyn for being pro-Palestine.

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            We could declare we’re now neutral because we have to follow the Leahy laws. Pull our military back, no more UN coverage, no more weapons. The “war” will calm down real quick.

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    I’m not sure who she’s gonna actually end up hurting this time. I gotta imagine anyone who falls for the Jill Stein shtick is likely to fall for Trump’s too.